Plausible Transition of Covid-19 from Pandemic to an Endemic State: Impact of Variant UK Strain, b 7.1.1, on the Spread of Covid-19 in the Population

Abstract

Prabir Chakravarty

Covid-19 is a contagious disease spreading without showing any signs of abatement across the world. Presently, sars-cov-2, the causative agent of covid-19, is giving a fresh threatening signs to renew its devastation as several new mutated strains have been detected in United Kingdom, south africa, brazil & the usa; the first variant being detected in the united kingdom (b 7.1.1). Here we have shown that there was a gradual waning of active cases of covid-19 (strain originated in wuhan, china) across the nation after implementation of complete lockdown; this demonstrated that covid-19 had lost its sheen and the covid-19 pandemic was nearing an end. However, the recent emergence of the mutated forms of sars-cov-2 in different countries including India, appears to be more contagious and virulent than the original form. This property of the variant strain could affect the ongoing pandemic. The implication of all the data obtained from the old and the new UK variant, b7.1.1, in context of pandemic has been discussed in this article.

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