Assessment of Global Temperature Rise Based Upon Approved Algorithms

Abstract

James W Gerschultz

This Article presents the results of an independent assessment of the estimated global temperature increase since the 1.1degree Celsius measured in 2020. It illustrates that the goals of the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement can be met by the end of the cen- tury by gradually reducing Carbon Dioxide emissions from present levels. The required rate of global emissions reductions is significantly less than those estimated by the United Nations reports. Most of the difference in estimates can be attributed to an error that was made by the UN in figuring the future atmospheric concentration of Methane. All of the various agency reports forgot to account for the short 12-year lifetime of CH4 that must be subtracted from the total new yearly emissions to then yield very small net concentration and temperature increases. The Nations of the World will be jubilant to hear that they now have both more time and lower yearly emission reduction requirements than currently reported.

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